Streetlights and Shadows: Searching for the Keys to Adaptive Decision Making
Streetlights and Shadows: Searching for the Keys to Adaptive Decision Making
Klein, Gary A.
product information
Condition: New, UPC: 9780262516723, Publication Date: Thu, September 1, 2011, Type: Paperback ,
join & start selling
description
4An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble--and why experience can't be replaced by rules, procedures, or analytical methods.

In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines--gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete--but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples--ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O'Brian's Master and Commander novels--to make his point. All these decision makers saw things that others didn't. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything.

reviews

Be the first to write a review

member goods

No member items were found under this heading.

notems store

Forensic Psychology Collection

by Whiteley, Connor

Paperback /Paperback

$15.29

Trash Talk: The Only Book ...

by Kohan, Rafi

Hardcover /Hardcover

$22.50

How We Learn: The Surprising ...

by Carey, Benedict

Paperback /Paperback

$13.50

listens & views

MODERN MINDS & PASTIMES (HK) ...

by CLICK FIVE

COMPACT DISC

out of stock

$19.99

SPLIT

by ASUNDER / GRAVES AT SEA

VINYL LP

out of stock

$16.75

ASI SOY

by TROVA-D

COMPACT DISC

out of stock

$13.99

TANGO CHINO

by GIRAUDO,FULVIO

COMPACT DISC

out of stock

$10.99

Return Policy

All sales are final

Shipping

No special shipping considerations available.
Shipping fees determined at checkout.
promoting relevance through notable postings ]

A notem is a meaningful post that highlights an experience, idea, topic of interest, an event ... whatever a member believes worthy of discussion. Each notem becomes a pathway by which to make meaningful connections.

notems is a free, global social network that rewards members by the number and quality of notems they post.

notemote® © . Privacy Policy. Developed by Hartmann Software Group